Tropical Storm Koinu has intensified into a typhoon in the early hours of today. As of 8am, it was located approximately 1,410 kilometres southeast of Hong Kong. The Observatory predicts that it will enter the northern part of the South China Sea as a super typhoon on Wednesday (4th October) and Thursday (5th October), passing near the southern tip of Taiwan’s Hengchun Peninsula before approaching the coast of Guangdong.

The northeast monsoon is currently affecting the coast of Guangdong, while a high-pressure system is covering southern China. Locally, temperatures rose to around 33 degrees Celsius in some parts of the territory around noon.
At noon, Typhoon Koinu was centred about 840 kilometres northeast of Manila. It is expected to move northwest at a speed of about 12 kilometres per hour towards the vicinity of the Luzon Strait and the southern part of Taiwan, gradually intensifying along its path.
The weather forecast for this afternoon and tonight predicts one or two showers, with very hot and sunny periods in the afternoon. It will be mainly cloudy tonight with moderate to fresh east to northeasterly winds, occasionally strong offshore at first.
Looking ahead, the next couple of days will remain very hot and mainly fine, except for isolated showers. However, the weather is expected to become more unsettled towards the latter part of the week.
An anticyclone aloft will bring mainly fine weather to southern China in the next couple of days, but showers and thunderstorms triggered by high temperatures will affect the region. Meanwhile, Tropical Cyclone Koinu will move towards the vicinity of the Luzon Strait and the southern part of Taiwan, gradually intensifying along its path. It may then enter the northeastern part of the South China Sea. In the latter part of the week, the coast of Guangdong can expect windier conditions with showers.
Additionally, the northeast monsoon is expected to reach southern China during this period. Due to the influence of the northeast monsoon, there are uncertainties regarding Koinu’s subsequent movement and intensity. It may track along the coastal waters of Guangdong and weaken.
The Observatory emphasises that the path and intensity of Koinu are subject to variables due to the influence of the northeast monsoon. There is a possibility that the typhoon may move along the coastal waters of Guangdong and weaken. The latest tropical cyclone track indicates that Koinu will approach Hong Kong from the east at a distance of approximately 300 kilometres on Saturday morning (7th October). The Observatory predicts that on that day and Sunday (8th October), there will be a northerly wind of force 5, reaching force 7 offshore and on high ground, corresponding to the wind strength of a No. 3 typhoon signal.
As Koinu approaches, the outer subsiding air flow will gradually affect Hong Kong. The next few days will be extremely hot, with the Observatory forecasting a high of 35 degrees Celsius on Wednesday, which could potentially break the October record and become the hottest October day on record.
At 8am today, the Observatory recorded the position of Tropical Cyclone Koinu, which was located approximately 1,410 kilometres southeast of Hong Kong. Over the next two to three days, it will move towards the vicinity of the Luzon Strait and the southern part of Taiwan, gradually intensifying.
Today is the last day of the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day holidays. The Observatory indicates that a high-level anticyclone will bring generally fine weather to South China in the next one to two days. However, showers and thunderstorms triggered by high temperatures will affect the region. At noon, temperatures in some parts of Hong Kong rose to around 33 degrees Celsius. There will be sunny and hot periods in the afternoon, with generally cloudy conditions tonight. Winds will be light to moderate, blowing from the east to northeast, occasionally strong offshore.
On Wednesday, Koinu is expected to intensify into a super typhoon and strike the Hengchun Peninsula in southern Taiwan. By 8am, Wednesday, it will have entered the 800-kilometer warning range of Hong Kong, weakening to a strong typhoon. After making landfall in the Hengchun Peninsula on Thursday, it will move closer to the Pearl River Estuary. By 8am, Friday (6th October), it will be within 400 kilometres of Hong Kong, moving approximately 300 kilometres within 24 hours, still as a strong typhoon.
By Saturday (7th October), as Koinu moves to a distance of 300 kilometres from Hong Kong, it will start to weaken.
热带风暴“鲤犬”增强为台风,周五逼近香港
热带风暴“鲤犬”在今天凌晨增强为台风。 截至上午8点,它位于香港东南约1,410公里处。 天文台预计,该台风将于周三(10月4日)和周四(10月5日)以超强台风的身份进入南海北部,经过台湾恒春半岛南端附近,然后接近广东沿岸。
目前,东北季候风正影响广东沿岸,而高压系统则覆盖华南地区。 本港中午时分,部分地区气温升至摄氏33度左右。
中午,台风“小犬”在马尼拉东北约840公里处集中。 预计将以每小时约12公里的速度向西北移动,朝吕宋海峡附近和台湾南部移动,并沿路径逐渐增强。
今天下午和今晚的天气预报预计有一到两场阵雨,下午天气非常炎热,阳光明媚。 今晚大致多云,吹中至清新东至东北风,初时离岸偶有强风。
展望未来,未来几天仍将非常炎热,除局部阵雨外,天气基本晴朗。 然而,预计本周后半段天气将变得更加不稳定。
未来几天,高空反气旋将为华南地区带来主要晴朗天气,但高温引发的阵雨和雷暴天气将影响该地区。 与此同时,热带气旋“鲤鱼”将向吕宋海峡附近及台湾南部移动,并沿路径逐渐增强。 随后可能会进入南海东北部。 本周后半段,广东沿海预计将有大风并伴有阵雨。 此外,预计东北季风将在此期间到达华南地区。 由于东北季风的影响,甲犬后续的活动和强度存在不确定性。 其可能沿广东沿海移动并减弱。
天文台强调,受东北季风影响,甲犬的路径和强度会出现变数。 台风有可能沿广东沿海移动并减弱。 最新的热带气旋路径显示,“鲤犬”将于星期六早上(10月7日)从东边约300公里处接近香港。 天文台预计当日及星期日(10月8日)将有5级偏北风,近海及高地可达7级,相当于3号台风信号的风力。
随着“鲤犬”临近,外围下沉气流将逐渐影响香港。 未来几天将会非常炎热,天文台预计周三最高气温将达到35摄氏度,这有可能打破10月份的纪录,成为有记录以来10月份最热的一天。
今天上午八时,天文台记录了热带气旋“古伊努”的位置,该气旋位于香港东南约1,410公里处。 未来两三天,它将向吕宋海峡附近和台湾南部移动,并逐渐加强。
今天是中秋节和国庆节假期的最后一天。 天文台预计,一股高强度反气旋将在未来一至两天为华南地区带来普遍晴朗的天气。 然而,高温引发的阵雨和雷暴将影响该地区。 中午,香港部分地区气温升至33摄氏度左右。 下午天气晴朗,天气炎热,今晚一般多云。 风力为微风至中风,从东风吹向东北风,海上偶尔有强风。
周三,预计“鲤鱼”将增强为超强台风,袭击台湾南部的恒春半岛。 周三上午8点,它将进入香港800公里的警戒范围,减弱为强台风。 周四在恒春半岛登陆后,将向珠江口靠拢。 周五(10 月 6 日)上午 8 点,它将到达距香港 400 公里范围内,24 小时内移动约 300 公里,仍为强台风。
到周六(10月7日),随着锦鲤移至距离香港300公里处,其强度将开始减弱。
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